Futuristics
& Law Enforcement--The Millennium Conference
July 10 -
14, 2000
FBI
Academy
Quantico,
Virginia
Introduction
For
the first time since 1991, a futures conference was held at the FBI Academy in
Quantico, Virginia. Entitled
"Futuristics & Law Enforcement--The Millennium Conference," this
event was attended by distinguished individuals with diverse backgrounds, including
policing, academia, and literature. The
purpose of the conference was to take the first steps toward producing a vision
for policing in the 21st century in five areas: The Future of Technology and Its Effect on
Law Enforcement; The Future of Leadership
and Management in Policing Agencies;
Future Crime/Future Law; The
Future of Policing Practices and Philosophies; and The Changing Face of
America--Demographics and Policing.
The attendees examined possible futures for law enforcement and formulated
strategies that police leaders will be able to employ to create the “preferred
future” for their agencies and communities.
In
order to accomplish the very ambitious goals of the conference, a modified
Nominal Group/Delphi surveying process was employed. Group members were asked to formulate possible future trends in
their areas of interest. Once these
trends were formulated, group members anonymously voted on the likelihood
that a particular trend would occur by a certain year as well as the impact
that the trend would have on policing by that year. Multiple rounds of voting
were conducted to allow participants to modify their opinions based upon the
input of their peers. The results of
the conference appear below.
Attendees
Attendance
at "Futuristics & Law Enforcement--The Millennium Conference" was
by invitation only. The desire of the
conference organizers was to obtain a broad cross-section of opinion relating
to the future of policing. As such,
participants of diverse backgrounds, both from inside and outside of law
enforcement, were included. All had
distinguished themselves in their chosen professions. As well, each had demonstrated a capacity to think creatively
which all but guaranteed lively, thorough, and insightful discussions on all
issues. The attendees included:
Plenary
Speakers:
Mr.
Dennis Bushnell Future Strategic Issues
National
Aeronautics and
Space
Administration
Mr.
Greg Bear Future
Crime
Science
Fiction Author
Dr.
Gary Sykes Ethics
in the 21st Century
Southwestern
Law Enforcement
Institute
Chief
Gordon Bass Management
in the
Jacksonville
Sheriff’s Office 21st Century
Ms.
Tammany Mulder Demographics in the
Bureau
of the Census Information Age
Mr.
Joel Garreau Networks
and Hierarchies
Washington
Post
The
Edge City Group